by Neil W. McCabe
The Democratic attorney general leads Republican candidates for Kentucky governor in the Jan. 5-6 poll of 608 registered voters.
Attorney General John W. “Jack” Conway beats both leading Republicans Agriculture Commissioner James R. Comer, former envoy to Latvia Ambassador Catherine Todd Bailey, real estate developer Hal Heiner and businessman Matt Bevin, said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Marketing, the Florida-based pollster that conducted the poll. The poll carries a 4 percent margin of error.
The Kentucky Democratic and Republican primaries are held May 19 and the general election is Nov. 3.
Watch this video by James R. Comer:
“In the tightest scenario, pitted against Comer, Conway leads 40 percent to 37 percent,” Kaplan said.
“Conway leads Bailey 43 percent to 30 percent; he leads Heiner 43 percent to 34 percent and Bevin 44 percent to 36 percent,” he said.
If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Cathy Bailey and Democrat Jack Conway, who would you vote for?
If Conway wins, it is a personal vindication for a candidate, who has survived an ethics scandal and the 2010 loss in the his run for the Senate against Republican Sen. Randal H. “Rand” Paul.
Kentucky is a true hybrid state that at the same time is southern and midwestern, Kaplan said.
If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Hal Heiner and Democrat Jack Conway, who would you vote for?
“The Democratic Party never went away as it did in states from the Deep South,” he said. “Ten to 11 percent of the Kentucky workforce is union, compare that with North Carolina or Georgia that are between 3 and 4 percent.”
President Barack Obama has an approval rating in our poll of 35 percent, but the state has a Democratic governor now and could easily elect another one, he said.
The GOP primary is a very interesting field, he said. “Bevin disappointed conservatives by losing 60 to 36 percent to Sen. Mitch McConnell.” McConnell is the Senate Majority Leader.
“Bevin, who spent $5 million against McConnell, is seen as having blown his chance to beat McConnell, but it is another thing for conservatives to switch to Bailey,” he said. “Bailey is close to Rand Paul, but she is really a part of the state’s GOP establishment.
In her own race to keep her job, Grimes is in a virtual tie, 47 percent to 46 percent, with Stephen Knipper, an information technology professional and executive for Catholic Health Initiatives, Kaplan said.
See other charts here:
Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?
If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Matt Bevin and Democrat Jack Conway, who would you vote for?
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