Executive Summery: September 1st, 2015
Winter Springs, Fla. – As the calendar turns to fall, Republican Presidential candidate Dr. Ben Carson is beginning to spring into contention as front-runner Donald Trump also appears to gain strength in a recent Gravis Marketing poll completed at the end of August 2015. Gravis Marketing, the nonpartisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Fla. recently conducted a random telephone survey of 957 voters, using a registered voter database in Iowa regarding the upcoming 2016 Presidential election – gauging the pulse of registered voters on both sides of the Presidential isle. This poll was completed utilizing Gravis IVR technology and represents a margin of error of ± 3.2% [4.4% for Republican Caucus/4.8% for Democratic Caucus]. The telephone survey was conducted 8-29-2015 To 8-31-2015
This sample of includes 507 Republican Caucus participants, 421 Democratic Caucus participants, and the remainder answering the Approval of Obama question, but not planning to vote in the primary elections. The poll was weighted separately for each population in the question presented.
As with most polls, the August Iowa poll asked all registered voters about their opinion of the job performance of President Barack Obama. A majority of those queried showed disapproval of the President’s current job performance – with 51 percent indicating that they disapprove with the actions he is taking as President. 43 percent stated that they currently approve of his job performance while only six percent were unsure of their opinion on this question.
The Gravis Marketing a leader in political campaign websites, then asked registered voters whether they intend on voting in the Iowa caucus and what percentage of each caucus plans on participating in the critical caucus process. The people were asked “do you plan on voting in the Republican or Democratic Caucuses for the 2016 Presidential Election?” Of the 507 Republican candidates polled, 57 percent intend on casting a vote during the caucus, while among the 421 Democrats polled, only 43 percent intend on voting during the primary season in Iowa.
REPUBLICAN CAUCUS POLLING RESULTS
The 507 Republican voters were asked; “Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 GOP Candidate would you vote for?” The largest majority of 31.7 percent selected Donald Trump as the Republican candidate they would vote for during the primary. Dr. Ben Carson, the neurosurgeon who has seen a rapid spike in voter support after the first Fox News Republican debate garnered nearly half of the support of Trump – with 15.8 percent choosing him as their choice for the Republican nominee.Ted Cruz, the US Senator from Texas received 6.9 percent of the potential vote, while Marco Rubio, Scott Walker, Bobby Jindal, Carly Fiorina rounding up the top seven potential candidates. Candidates such as Rand Paul, Jeb Bush and Mike Huckabee captured less than 5 percent support from the Republican caucus members.
DEMOCRAT CAUCUS POLLING RESULTS
The democratic primary candidates were then brought upon the 407 democratic voters to determine who would receive the most support for the Iowa caucus. When asked, “Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 Democrat Candidate would you vote for,” 45.1 percent would vote for Hillary Clinton. 16.9 percent selected for Bernie Sanders while current Vice President Joe Biden would receive 13.4 percent of the Iowa voters support if he chooses to make a presidential run.